Sunday, January 13, 2019

The Fermi Paradox and the Great Filter


The Fermi Paradox, The Great Filter and the End of Humanity as we know it will be the topics of this article.
Are we alone in the universe?
There is a big likelihood if we live in reality that in one of the many other solar systems in other galaxies host intelligent life(aliens). I personally do not think we are alone in the universe.
How is it then that we have not yet encountered an extraterrestrial species?
There are a few answers to that question. We were not discovered by them because of the great size of the universe, this is a rather simple theory and pretty straight forward. As time passes the universe speeds up making exploration outside one’s galaxy more and more inconvenient. Let us assume that they are also more technologically advanced than us. If that were the case there would be 2 more  theories to be noted. Firstly, they made contact very early in our evolution before our recorded history. This would imply that they had no interest in contacting or interacting with a species as primitive as us. Secondly, they believe we are not worthy to interact with them, a sense of supremacy that came as a result of the technological advancements they reached. Another theory says they are not as technological advanced as us. Life started slowly from unicellular microorganisms, therefore there is a big likelihood that intelligent life is rare and we are one of the very few species that managed to evolve while other species never had the opportunity to evolve or were driven extinct by cosmic events. As for conspiracy theories, they made contact to us and their remains are stored in Area 51. This would prove to be very bad news for us as we do not know if they evolved to be vindictive and are preparing an attack on humanity. It could also be the case that they anticipated the steps we will take in the future and know that we might drive ourselves extinct so there is no reason for an attack or any kind of interaction. Lastly we have a few more theories. We could be the result of a probe sent by aliens to propagate life in the universe, this would make aliens our creators. This could go either way, they did not want to be alone in the universe, or they wanted another planet to be suitable for hosting their species or perhaps it was just an experiment to see how life would develop under other circumstances. Another theory is that technology overtook their species, if this were the case their planet might still host a form of technologically advanced civilization, which happily for us did not decide to further explore the universe. Worst case scenario they did not find us yet but are searching for us. A future where all the nature is overtook by artificial creations could prove catastrophic. Aliens in sci-fi movies are many times depicted as dangerous, our own culture makes it inevitable for too much of a hostile environment to arise if aliens are ever discovered. Aliens are also seen as a threat to the whole human species and are one of the few reasons why even nations leave their conflicts aside to face an even greater threat, the possible extinction caused by an alien attack.
Let us talk about the Great Filter, first we should define it. This would be the great filter of life itself. All species would have different hurdles in their evolution, these may have already been in the past, might be in the present or will come in the future. Examples of great filters in the past include lack of evolution of microorganisms, extinction by meteorite and nuclear war, the last one still being a hurdle in the present and in the future. Other scenarios that should be regarded in the present are overpopulation and global warming. As for the future we should worry about biochemical warfare, humanity being overtaken by technology or inclusion of humans in the singularity.
Would you still like to meet an extraterrestrial civilization?
I know for sure I would, even if it would become a dangerous encounter and perhaps the end of all we know. One of my favorite series as a kid was Stargate Atlantis. Perhaps that is the reason why I look with great interest in this subject, although it is sad that we have less and less so called proof of aliens as technology evolved. Our phone cameras are strong enough to take pictures of any so called Unidentified Flying Objects(UFO's) thus making conspiracy theorists and humans in general less likely to try and falsify the proof of alien existence. Lastly we talked a bit about Alien extinction and about human extinction by Artificial General Intelligence(AGI) in another article so I would like to propose some other dystopian futures for mankind without any particular order to them. World War 3 could be a possible event to cause human extinction, although nowadays the war is held in cyberspace and in other less developed countries as proxy wars of the most powerful nations on earth. "I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones." Albert Einstein. Waste of resources could also kill us in the long run, especially with the increase of population from generation to generation. Global warmth could kill the nature around us and make more extreme differences between temperature highs and lows and nature phenomena. Solar eruptions or solar flares could also prove fatal. Uncontrolled nanotechnology that could eat up all resources at its disposal to multiply itself may also be a risk. Creation of a mini black whole during experiments could also wipe us all. In the best case scenario as did all prophesied ends of the world end without human extinction so will the current theories about human extinction prove to be false. Sadly, not much research has been done to proactively protect ourselves from these potential future events. This is best encapsulated in Nick's Bostrom statement in 2001 "There is more scholarly work on the life-habits of the dung fly than on existential risks." Another solution is colonizing other planets in order to avoid a full human extinction. Progress towards that is most commonly known to be done by SpaceX and NASA. A strong global economic crisis could also bring out a civil war and chaos in the streets or even more warfare between nations. Cyber warfare could also cause the extinction of the human race, the electricity grids may collapse, the banking system may collapse, you would be stuck with a meaningless piece of plastic instead of a card connected to your bank account, which may be empty at this point. Liquidity wouldn't help too much either, there would be a battle for nourishment. I hope this article helped you better understand how sensitive our way of life currently is. Personally I fear that these above mentioned extinction methods are approaching faster and faster and we do not put enough work in preventing any of them.
Which scenario scares you the most?
For me it is waking up one day in a world where money lost its value and the masses start revolting against themselves and the government causing civil war.
Here are some videos that inspired me while making this article:

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